The analysis uses July 2019–September 2024 data and a model comparing care pathways over a lifetime. The authors estimate net societal savings of 6.39 billion Egyptian pounds; this is a projection, not a budget saving already realised.
The model depends partly on transferred survival and quality-of-life assumptions. The findings therefore do not by themselves demonstrate an observed fall in mortality. The 1 November development is the ministry's communication about the evaluation, rather than publication of a new study that day.